Premier League relegation odds: Who will face the drop?

This year’s promoted teams from the Championship, Bournemouth, Nottingham Forest, and Fulham are the favourites at bookies to be relegated. Newly promoted teams have historically had a difficult time in the Premier League due to the difference in class between the top flight and Championship. Let’s have a closer look at their Premier League relegation odds and other candidates that might be fighting for survival.

The 3 Promoted Teams


Let’s start with last season’s best Championship performer, Fulham. Fulham are a side who are in and out the Premier League what feels like every other year. They were relegated in 2021 and bounced straight back up with a momentum title win, largely due to the excellent management of Marco Silva.

A Marco Silva side is free-flowing and very attacking, the philosophy is to never stop. Out of possession, players must continuously press until the ball is back in their feet. It’s comparable to Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool, which is perhaps why Fulham have caused them problems in recent years.

The issue with this style is that you need quality to back it up, there will be times when the shape is skewed, leaving individual brilliance to take over. Whether it’s in the form of a tackle, a dribble or a long pass.

Fulham’s squad could handle the Championship clubs well, but the Premier League is different. The League has far more quality, every side has a player capable of making a difference. Fulham will need to adapt this style and press while maintaining their shape. Pressing from the front will be key.

Whether they’ll be able to sustain this style against the top clubs, remains to be seen. The bookmakers don’t hold their chances in high regard, as shown by the Premier League relegation odds which currently hold Fulham at 5/4 to be relegated. (Via Bet365)


Next we have runners up Bournemouth, who stayed in the Premier League much longer than expected after promotion in 2015. They survived up until 2020, which shows they are well capable of defying the odds. If they’re to survive next season, they’ll certainly be continuing this trend as they’re currently favourites to suffer the drop. Bet365’s Premier League relegation odds have Bournemouth at 4/9!

Bournemouth are currently coached by Scott Parker, who previously managed Fulham! The young manager has done a remarkable job on a small budget at Bournemouth and will be desperate to carry it on with Premier League survival. It’s clear that young British managers who play positive football are the match for Bournemouth. Eddie Howe had a similar profile to Parker when he took over and what a remarkable job he did.

Bournemouth stick to their shape and breakout with speedy runs and sharp movements, this makes them devastating on the break and will definitely lead them to cause problems in the Premier League. Only against certain teams though, high lines will be penetrable, but a low block may be difficult to get by.

Bournemouth haven’t exactly strengthened in the transfer window, the only signings thus far being Ryan Fredricks and Joe Rothwell, both on frees. We think they’ll struggle to keep up across 38 games and will suffer relegation.

Nottingham Forest

Last but not least we have Nottingham Forest, who have been very active in the transfer window- signing a plethora of new players. They have really shown their ambitions to make this Premier League stay, a long-term one.

The most notable signings so far have been:

  • Jesse Lingard- free
  • Neco Williams- £18 million
  • Moussa Niakhate- £9 million
  • Taiwo Awoniyi- £18 million
  • Dean Henderson- loan
  • Wayne Hennesey- free

The top dog being Jesse Lingard, the former Man United man has been kicking around in the Premier League for years, he has bags of experience playing under different managers in different sides and he will have more than enough motivation to reignite his career once again.

They have also brought in Dean Henderson on loan, between the sticks- another United man who has a lot of experience at a young age. His leadership quality will be massive on and off the pitch.

Forest have one of the strongest newly promoted squads we’ve seen in years, and it would come as no surprise to see them survive. The bookies disagree, their Premier League relegation odds are currently sat at 6/5 on Bet365!

Contenders for Premier League relegation

The ‘Big six’ Premier League relegation odds

Of course, the newly promoted sides aren’t the only ones to have the threat of relegation. Football is anyone’s game, and anything can happen. After seeing Leicester win the Premier League on 5000/1 odds, it’s almost impossible to write anything off. The Premier League relegation odds for the top 6 make for very interesting reading.

Manchester City and Liverpool are considered equal as their Premier League relegation odds both sit at 4500/1. It would be a remarkable sight to see a side like City, Liverpool or United go down and if you backed it, you’d be even more chuffed. The unlikelihood makes these Premier League relegation odds so fun.

Leeds relegation odds

Leeds United narrowly escaped relegation last season, it all came down to the last day with themselves and Burnley fighting to survive. Leeds faced Brentford and Burnley hosted Newcastle. A win for Burnley would keep them in the league while Leeds needed to win or draw with Burnley losing.

The reason Leeds were in this predicament to start with was largely down to the first half of the season. This was when Marcelo Bielsa was still in charge, they had a style of play similar to that of Fulham’s that we previously discussed. Full of energy with constant pressing and a focus on attack, regardless of who the opponents are.

This was not sustainable and simply put, they leaked goals. Leading to Jesse Marsch taking over as manager, he steadied the ship and docked them in the Premier League harbour for the 22/23 season. However, they may struggle next season. They’ve lost star-man Raphinha who was key in keeping them up, as well as Kalvin Phillips. Their Premier League relegation odds reflect this, they’re currently at 9/4 on Bet365.

Brentford relegation odds

Brentford made their first Premier League appearances last season after they earned promotion via the play-offs. They surprised people with their performance in the league last season, many thought they’d go down then but they were not even a contender.

Like Leeds, they have also lost a star player in Christian Eriksen. He signed a 6-month contract back in January and he was nothing short of phenomenal. He fitted right in and created plenty of chances for striker Ivan Toney. He didn’t renew his deal, instead opting to sign a three-year contract at Manchester United.

This has definitely had an effect on their Premier League relegation odds. They are fifth favourites to face the drop with 12/5 odds.

Southampton relegation odds

Southampton are part of the Premier League furniture these days. The Saints were promoted 10 years ago in 2012! There was expectations back then that they’d go straight back down but they survived in flying colours and have cemented their place ever since. There has been times when they’ve looked close to relegation but have managed to stay up.

This season could become a farewell season, especially after they were unable to sign Armando Broja from Chelsea. Their Premier League relegation odds are at 3/1 on Bet365, Will the Saints carry on marching?

Everton relegation odds

Everton are a stalwart of the Premier League. They have been in the competition since its beginning in 1992, suffering no relegations. They usually occupy mid table and have even qualified for Europe on rare occasions. Last season was a complete failure for the Toffees. Coming very close to relegation.

They’ve signed a few new players and also lost a key man. Brazil international, Richarlison switched Everton blue for Spurs white in a £60 million deal. They’ll definitely miss him. Their Premier League relegation odds are 10/3.

Premier League relegation odds: FAQ’s

What are the odds for relegation from the Premier League?
The odds for Premier League relegation depend on the team, they range from 4/9 all the way up to 4500/1!

How many teams get relegated from the Premier League?
The bottom three sides in the league are relegated to the Championship.

How many points to avoid relegation from the Premier League?
There is not a specific number of points required, just more than the bottom three!

Which are the teams never relegated from the Premier League?
Manchester United, Arsenal, Tottenham, Liverpool, Everton and Chelsea have all never suffered relegation.

What is relegation from the Premier League?
Relegation is the outcome of finishing in the bottom three. You are essentially demoted to the league below, the EFL Championship.